Friday, March 27, 2009

WILL G-20 BE 2ND BRETTON WOOD?


(WIIL YOU CARRY ME TOO ?)

Will the forthcoming G-20 be 2nd Bretton wood or the media hype will collapse like the financial architecture of the west including America? It will be unravelled within a couple of days from now.
All developed nations seems divided on the issue as to what strategy should countries adopt so salvage the sinking economy. The Anglo-American lobby is of the view that all nations including the developing third world countries should imitate and prescribe for stimulus packages in order to inject liquidity into the economy. Before Obama, Bush has also enacted TARP in order to rejuvenate the ailing US economy. The 700 Billion dollars rescue and bailout package has sunk after making initial ripples. The 800 plus billion dollars 2nd rescue and rehabilitation Act enacted by Obama is yet make its healing effect felt. 

UK has already unveiled 786 US dollar rescue package but it too has failed to give any impressive positive improvement in the economy. Gordon Brown, one the other hand is to face general elections in his country next year. Tony Blair, his predecessor, who has earned a reputation of being a satellite to Bush has made his countries economy only subservient to the USA. His most of the statements used to be in resonance with that of Bush. Brown wants that this legacy of his predecessors to be carried forward. Thus, both Brown and Obama are staunch supporter of the view that the present global economic downturn can be turned around by stimulus packages and injection of more and more money into the financial systems. They advocate for more free trade, more lending by banks and more innovating steps by the financial systems, but conversely in their respective homes, they resort to protectionist measures. 'Buy American clause' in the Obama’s much publicised economic drug therapy to jerk start the terminally paralysed US economy, is an living example of protectionism trade policy. The restriction in H1B visa is another example of similar protectionist attitude of the Americans. The British followed the same trend. British's call 'british factories for britons' augument this trend and it seems that the champions of free trade and free society are scared themselves and are shutting down their own shutters to stop apprehended influx of job seekers.

Germany and France on the other hand are averse to those steps in which more and more money is injected into the economy . Markel is wedded to the idea of tightening the screws of financial institutions. She has blatantly refused the line of treatment prescribed by the duo,Brown and Obama.

Sarkozy also did not favour Obama-Brown’s prescriptions of pumping money into the economy. In fact in the garb of this whole financial and economic muscle flexing, the politics is being pursued that who emerges the leader of the world. Sarkozy and Brown, on the other hand are hornlocked to win the game. Those who win will be the european leader. Thus behind the curtain the issue is that who will lead the world. 

America revealed its unhidden desire to lead the world when Obama reiterated that US is ready to lead the world and the world should follow it. He has forgotten that US is no more in the pre-global recession period. Moreover, this contageion has originated and exported to the rest of the world by none other than the US itself. The unquestioned hegemony of Americans in the field of economic arena is being undermined. It has already under stress. Its treasury bills have been purchased by Asian giant, China. The new term ‘Chimerica’ coined by Niall Ferguson has projected the forthcoming global economy and position of China in it. ‘Together we swim and separated we sink’, a slogan given by Americans has made it clear that Chinese would definitely get a lion’s share, and not dragon’s share in the new emerging global financial order which is likely to emerge out of the G-20 London Summit.

Obama’s assertion that world needs America and so does America, discloses the gravity of situation. US, hitherto the self acclaimed economic and military leader of the world, has started talking about philosophy of coalition, cooperation and partnership. What a huge change of attitude! Continuing its state of inertia, even Obama is not pursuing consensul politics. If you continue to take unilateral decisions and expect that everyone would follow it, is not going to serve the purpose.

America needs world more desperately than ever before, but at the same time, it still wants to drive the vehicle of global economy by itself, a vehicle which met accident ( global economic downturn) due to its recklessness only. We therfore, need to change the driver itself and assume the steering the economic vehicle of the world so that the next journey is safe and it could reach destination. 

What, then we, ought to do at the G-20 summit? The world is standing at the threshold of a new era, a post American era. Let the leadership be changed. Emerging economies of the world, china, India, Brazil, South Africa, Japan, South Korea etc are in the waiting queue. Not only the World financial architecture but in fact the entire world order as whole, need to be changed. After all Obama, himself had said that the change has arrived.

1 comment:

shridharkumar27 said...

the crux of this article is
" a vehicle which met accident ( global economic downturn) due to its recklessness only "

now america should not thnik about world. Obama must think and take care of WALL STREET IDIOT CHILDREN. Order own house nad clean the mess AMERICA has created all over world.
OBAMA must not - worry about "Dream Girl" try to manage your LEGAL WIFE first.

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